Demand Planning
Demand is trending up overall, but forecast accuracy slipped on Smart Electronics - here is the consensus number and where judgment is changing it.
Produce the consensus demand signal that drives the connected plan — statistical baseline, planner judgment, promotions and sales intelligence, reconciled to one number.
All families
Consensus demand
110.1
+2.1%index vs statistical 100
Forecast accuracy
82%
+3%1 − wMAPE (ensemble)
Forecast bias
+1.4%
0%near-neutral
Forecast value-add
+11pts
+11%vs naive baseline
Demand signal · all families ›
Units · actual history, statistical baseline & consensus plan
Use the context bar to filter by familyDrill in →
Consensus waterfall ›
Statistical → consensus (index)
Forecast accuracy scorecard ›
Ensemble model metrics by family (computed live)
| Family | wMAPE | Bias | FVA vs naive | Accuracy | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Appliances | 4.6% | +3.8% | +8.8pts | 93% | |
| Power Tools | 6% | +4.7% | +2.9pts | 90% | |
| Outdoor Equipment | 5.4% | +0.2% | +15.6pts | 94% | |
| Smart Electronics | 7.5% | +2.6% | +1.7pts | 88% | |
| Packaging & Supplies | 2.8% | -1.2% | +1.8pts | 99% | |
| Replacement Parts | 14.7% | +3.4% | +2.9pts | 73% |
ABC / XYZ segmentation
Forecastability vs value
Home Appliances
Class A · X-volatility
Power Tools
Class A · Y-volatility
Outdoor Equipment
Class B · Z-volatility
Smart Electronics
Class B · Y-volatility
Packaging & Supplies
Class A · X-volatility
Replacement Parts
Class C · Z-volatility
Promotions & marketing
Lift plan feeding consensus demand
| Program | Family | Start | Expected lift | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Appliance Promo | Home Appliances | Apr | +8.4% | Active |
| Outdoor Season Bundle | Outdoor Equipment | Jun | +12.1% | Planned |
| Packaging Volume Tier | Packaging & Supplies | May | +3.2% | Active |
| Electronics Trade Promo | Smart Electronics | Jul | +6.7% | Planned |