Demand Signal
Network demand is trending up ~1.6%/yr. The consensus plan sits ~6% above the statistical baseline after planner overrides and promotions.
Consensus uplift
+10.1%
+10.1%over statistical
Forecast accuracy
88%
+3%1 − wMAPE
Bias
+1.2%
slightly over
Demand signal
Units (000s) · statistical baseline vs consensus plan
AI narrative
Why this matters
The statistical baseline captures trend and seasonality; the consensus plan adds +3.2% planner judgment, +4.8% promotions and +2.1% sales intelligence. Accuracy is strong network-wide (wMAPE ~12%) but weak on Smart Electronics — the one series to watch and the candidate for a model switch.